1 00:00:00,934 --> 00:00:02,936 DAVID CHALIAN: In these brand new CNN polls, 2 00:00:02,969 --> 00:00:05,271 you see how close this race is. 3 00:00:05,305 --> 00:00:07,574 You noted these are the top line numbers here, 4 00:00:07,607 --> 00:00:10,276 that Harris has an outside-the-margin-of-error, 5 00:00:10,310 --> 00:00:11,978 slight lead in Wisconsin. 6 00:00:12,012 --> 00:00:13,813 She also has an outside-the-margin-of-error, 7 00:00:13,847 --> 00:00:15,648 slight lead in Michigan. 8 00:00:15,682 --> 00:00:18,351 You also noted that in Arizona, Donald 9 00:00:18,385 --> 00:00:20,153 Trump has a slight outside-the-margin-of-error 10 00:00:20,186 --> 00:00:21,287 lead. 11 00:00:21,321 --> 00:00:24,591 But in Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, no clear leader 12 00:00:24,624 --> 00:00:26,092 within the margin of error. 13 00:00:26,126 --> 00:00:29,996 This shows that the candidates have multiple paths to 270, 14 00:00:30,030 --> 00:00:33,266 but that this is indeed a toss-up race. 15 00:00:33,299 --> 00:00:35,869 And you mentioned the gender gap. 16 00:00:35,902 --> 00:00:37,570 Take a look here. 17 00:00:37,604 --> 00:00:39,372 Look at these numbers, Kate. 18 00:00:39,406 --> 00:00:41,875 Among female-likely voters in these states, 19 00:00:41,908 --> 00:00:45,912 you see this is a 17 percentage point lead in Wisconsin 20 00:00:45,945 --> 00:00:49,416 among female voters for Harris, a 16 percentage 21 00:00:49,449 --> 00:00:50,850 point lead in Michigan. 22 00:00:50,884 --> 00:00:55,055 You see it gets more narrowed down here in Arizona. 23 00:00:55,088 --> 00:00:58,958 But the flip side of that is male voters. 24 00:00:58,992 --> 00:01:02,128 You see Donald Trump's advantage, very significant 25 00:01:02,162 --> 00:01:05,365 with male voters, 18 points in Nevada, 26 00:01:05,398 --> 00:01:07,667 15 point advantage in Pennsylvania. 27 00:01:07,700 --> 00:01:10,370 That's the gap when we talk about the gender gap. 28 00:01:10,403 --> 00:01:13,940 Harris's advantage with women, in addition to Trump's advantage 29 00:01:13,973 --> 00:01:17,677 with men and who wins that battle, who extends 30 00:01:17,710 --> 00:01:19,546 that advantage could have a lot to say 31 00:01:19,579 --> 00:01:21,013 in these battleground states.